Premier League Betting Log - ManagerXI

[Santi]

good bet lad thanks for the tip, stuck just a fiver on your bet and won ofc.

[ManagerXI]

Boxing day games are more unpredictable than usual as a lot of teams are unable to maintain their pregame routine and some have to travel large distances on the day of the game instead of the day before so I would recommend keeping your stakes lower than usual and be careful about backing the away team to win.




I have put together some stats that may help you decide on a bet:

*There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 14 of Liverpool's last 15 away games in the Premier League.

*There have been under 2.5 goals scored in Southampton's last 6 away games in the Premier League.

*Everton have scored at least 2 goals in 12 of their last 14 home matches in the Premier League however they have seen under 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches against Stoke in all competitions.

*Leicester have lost 9 of their last 10 matches in the Premier League / There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 9 of Tottenham's last 10 games in the Premier League.

*There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 13 of Man Utd's last 16 home games in the Premier League / Man Utd have won 7 of their last 8 home matches in the Premier League.

*Hull have failed to score in 7 of their last 9 matches in the Premier League / There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 6 of Sunderland's last 7 games in the Premier League.

*Aston Villa have won just one of the six Premier League meetings with Swansea (W1 D3 L2).

*Arsenal are undefeated in 25 of their last 26 home matches in the Premier League / QPR have lost their last 9 away matches in the Premier League while they have conceded at least 2 goals in 7 of their last 8 away matches in the Premier League.




Whats your best bet?

[Yorkyblue]

Premier league teams still travel and train on Xmas day if playing away. Lower league probably does as well.

[Gooner_ESR10]

Arsenal 5/1 odds for a new customer bet on betvictor. Easy money.

[Santi]

Arsenal 5/1 odds for a new customer bet on betvictor. Easy money.

Fs only joined there the other day.

[Gooner_ESR10]

Unlucky mate.

BOOM, win confirmed here I think.



£33 return, not bad.

[Yorkyblue]

Easy money yesterday. Wasn't much doubt in me it wouldn't win easy. Only reason I didn't smash into it properly was cause I'm moving house in a couple of weeks and if it ended up falling, the girlfriend would of shot me.



After I'd placed that I noticed Betfair were doing a deal for new customers and offering 13/1! Downside was that everything above the normal price was in free bets. It was max £10 so won the money plus I also have 11 £10 free bets!

[Santi]

made £8 from an in play bet yesterday. Just picked a few teams that were winning and did an accumulator at like 65 mins that they all win.

Pool
Swansea
Hull
Stoke
Southampton

Easy monehhh

[Caluminium]

Was tempted to give up betting.. but just got my £30 from dat Arsenal QPR match. All happy again.

[ManagerXI]

Chelsea v Man City Betting Preview:

Top of the table clash and potential title decider if Chelsea win... a bit early in the season to make that assumption but not far off the mark either with Chelsea currently leading the title race by 5 points.

Both teams are missing key players which will have a big impact on this match with Chelsea more than likely happy enough with a draw to maintain their lead over the main title rival and City looking to make up ground but aware of the consequences if they push too hard for the win and leave gaps at the back.

City will be without Yaya Toure who will be a massive loss in the midfield battle while Samir Nasri is expected to be unavailable for another week or two. Mangala is undergoining tests on his groin while new signing Wilfried Bony is still competing in the African Cup Of Nations.

Chelsea have more serious injury concerns with Fabregas unavailable with a hamstring injury and he will not be available to pull the strings in midfield while they are lacking his fantastic link up play which has netted him 15 assists this season and he should break Thierry Henry's record of 20 assists in a season. Main man Diego Costa will also be unavailable after he was confirmed this afternoon as receiving a 3 man ban for stamping on Liverpools Emre Can. Costa has been lethal this season with 17 goals so far and has been involved in 37% of Chelseas league goals this season while Fabregas has been involved in 33%. Drogba is expected to fill in as a lone striker but he is currently a shadow of Costas brilliance and dominance in the opposition box and will not be a match for Kompany.

We can expect Chelsea to set out to contain Man City and try to hit them on the counter mainly through Hazard who will struggle without having the ever present outlet Fabregas offers and Fernando and Fernandinho will cut off the space for him to operate. Both teams are expected to line out with two very defensively minded holding midfielders in Matic and Ramires (Chelsea) and Fernando and Fernandinho will provide the steel for City with Milner doing a job where needed the cut off Oscars space when he switches to the right wing.

I expect this to be a defensive masterclass from Mourinho given his injuries have restricted his options and with City being cautious this will be a very tight game with City being undefeated in their last 6 away games.

Recommended Bet: Man City To Win or Draw (Double Chance) - 1.73 Bet365

[ManagerXI]

Result: Chelsea 1-1 Man City

[ManagerXI]

Leicester v West Ham Betting Preview

West Ham are coming up against a Leicester side who are woefully out of form and looking to almost certainly be relegated. Leicester have failed to score in their last 3 home matches in the Premier League while only having 1 win in their last 10 home league games. Leicester have scored just three goals in their last nine Premier League games at the King Power Stadium and have gone five hours and 15 minutes since they lasted netted in front of their own fans. On the flip side West Ham are not great for the win away from home and they have struggled to keep clean sheets but they have the better midfield and they will battle Leicester who have gone for an attacking lineup without someone to pull the strings in midfield and control the game where West Ham have Downing to keep Leicester pinned back and punish them on the counter attack supported by Kouyate who returns to his usual midfield position.

The odds are simply too big on West Ham due to their away stats but the matchup is more in favour of West Ham than the bookies are suggesting and there is a decent bit of value available.

Recommended Bet: West Ham To Win Or Draw Double Chance - 1.73 Bet365

[#ST]

I was like 'this guy has a perfect streak in this topic let me put a tenner on one of his predictions and see if my curse is stronger than his streak'

So just as I decided to follow you up on that West Ham bet I find out they already played and Leicester already won

Can you imagine the strength of my curse? Just the fact I would stumble upon this topic and theoretically put a tenner on already made your bet lose.

Sorry for that. Still enjoying these predictions very much. I like the detailed posting. Keep it up and good luck!

[ManagerXI]

Unfortunately Leicester nicked an undeserved winner 4 minutes from the end of the game to put up the first loss, it was inevitable and a good example of why bankroll management is as important if not more so than picking value bets.

Newcastle v Tottenham Betting Preview:

Newcastle come into this game with 9 players unavailable through injuries and suspension and they are in a bad run having lost their last 5 Premier League games and they have failed to score in 5 of their last 7 league games and they appeared to have given up on their season in their last game against Liverpool where influential midfielder Sissoko was sent off and is suspended for this game.

Tottenham are not in great form themselves and put in a poor performance last time out against Villa with a makeshift defense struggling to deal with the power and positioning of Benteke but they don't have that same threat to deal with against a toothless Newcastle who are also missing their most creative player and have little to play for mainly due to the poor performances of the teams below them. Dier and Vertonghen return to Tottenhams defence which will make them much harder to break down and a single goal from the in form Harry Kane could settle this.

We will play this a bit safer with the draw no bet market as the season is starting to wind down for both of these teams and their motivation levels are questionable.

Recommended Bet: Tottenham To Win 'Draw No Bet' @ 1.67 Bet365

[ManagerXI]

Newcastle 1-3 Tottenham