PuntersAdvice Betting Log

[Massa]

Ouch

[PuntersAdvice]

Spanish Copa Del Rey: Barcelona v Real Madrid


-Both teams have scored in the last 15 meetings.
-Barcelona have seen over 2.5 goals in 13 of their last 14 matches against Real Madrid in all competitions.
-Real Madrid have scored at least 2 goals in 8 of their last 10 matches against Barcelona in all competitions.
-This is Barcelona's only chance of a trophy this season and will play very offensively.
-Barcelona have defensive problems with both Puyol and Pique doubtful and Valdes is definitely out while Madrid have their own defensive problems with both Marcelo and Khedira doubtful.
-While Ronaldo is out and obviously a massive player for Madrid, Isco has been producing the goals in his absence.
-In previous seasons this would have been an automatic 10% bet however with other factors such as Madrid's Champions League aspirations and their focus on La Liga we will be reducing the stakes on this match.


Bet: Both Teams To Score
Stake: 49
Bookmaker: Paddy Power
Odds: 1.5

[PuntersAdvice]

In the short while since the bet was posted Paddy Power have dropped the odds from 1.5 to 1.4 and are now one of the shortest priced among the major bookmakers. There must be some large bettors on this forum or a lot of small bets placed in a short period of time.

[PuntersAdvice]

Barcelona 1-2 Real Madrid

Balance: 981

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English Premier League: Outright Winner Betting Market


-Liverpools have 4 games remaining, two of which are against poor mid-table teams who have nothing to play for in Crystal Palace and Newcastle.
-Liverpools other game is against Norwich who are fighting relegation and are lucky Fulham and Sunderland collapsed this year or they would certainly be relegated.
-Liverpools remaining fixture is against Chelsea and crucially for this bet, the match will be played at Anfield where Liverpool have a record of 15-1-1 and are playing a Chelsea team that have won less than 50% of their away games and their most important creative player, Hazard, has a calf/shin injury and is without an expected return date and could miss this match.
-Man City have 5 games remaining which includes a very tough trip to Everton who have a record at home of 12-3-2 while Chelsea are still in the Champions League and have a very tough draw against Atletico Madrid which will increase their chances of dropping points in the final stages of the Premier League.
-Assuming Liverpool draw with Chelsea and win their remaining fixtures they will win the league after Man City were held to a draw with Sunderland tonight.


Bet: Liverpool To Win The Premier League 13/14
Stake: 98
Bookmaker: BetVictor
Odds: 1.57

[PuntersAdvice]

English Premier League: Chelsea v Sunderland


-Chelsea are undefeated in their last 26 home matches in the Premier League.
-Chelsea have kept a clean sheet in their last 6 home matches in the Premier League.
-Chelsea have won 8 of their last 9 home matches against Sunderland in all competitions.
-Sunderland have conceded at least 2 goals in their last 5 away matches in the Premier League.
-Sunderland have failed to win their last 9 matches in the Premier League.
-Expect plenty of passion from the visitors but Mourinho won't let his side take any games for granted and knowing that 4 wins will secure the title is incentive enough to ensure they don't slip up before the crucial match against Liverpool.
-Eden Hazard is injured and has been Chelsea's most creative player this season.
-Chelsea have a Champions League game against Atletico Madrid and a Premier League game against Liverpool which could decide the title in the following week and Mourinho has shown a tendency to revert to a very defensive formation when he gets the lead and save his players energy.


Bet: Chelsea To Win & Under 3.5 Goals
Stake: 49
Bookmaker: Bet365
Odds: 2.00

[Arsenal Tone]

English Premier League: Chelsea v Sunderland


-Chelsea are undefeated in their last 26 home matches in the Premier League.
-Chelsea have kept a clean sheet in their last 6 home matches in the Premier League.
-Chelsea have won 8 of their last 9 home matches against Sunderland in all competitions.
-Sunderland have conceded at least 2 goals in their last 5 away matches in the Premier League.
-Sunderland have failed to win their last 9 matches in the Premier League.
-Expect plenty of passion from the visitors but Mourinho won't let his side take any games for granted and knowing that 4 wins will secure the title is incentive enough to ensure they don't slip up before the crucial match against Liverpool.
-Eden Hazard is injured and has been Chelsea's most creative player this season.
-Chelsea have a Champions League game against Atletico Madrid and a Premier League game against Liverpool which could decide the title in the following week and Mourinho has shown a tendency to revert to a very defensive formation when he gets the lead and save his players energy.


Bet: Chelsea To Win & Under 3.5 Goals
Stake: 49
Bookmaker: Bet365
Odds: 2.00

Oh dear!

[Santi]

You say that, but it increases the likelihood of the bet previous to that!

[PuntersAdvice]

Chelsea 1-2 Sunderland

Balance: 932


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Champions League: Atletico Madrid v Chelsea


-Chelsea's most creative player, Eden Hazard, is unavailable for this fixture.
-Courtois will play for Atletico Madrid.
-Atletico Madrid have 5 clean sheets in their last 8 Champions League matches including their last match against Barcelona.
-5 of Atletico's last 6 Champions League matches have gone under 2.5 goals.
-Chelsea have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 8 Champions League matches and Mourinho will almost certainly play a very defensive style in this first leg.
-Atletico generally play a very defensive style against the top European teams and they will not want to concede an away goal.


Bet: Under 2.5 Goals
Stake: 47
Bookmaker: BetVictor
Odds: 1.55

[PuntersAdvice]

Atletico Madrid 0-0 Chelsea

Balance: 956


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English Premier League: Liverpool v Chelsea

-Jose Mourinho has claimed he is seeking permission to field a weakened line-up against Liverpool to save his players for the second leg of the Champions League semi-final against Atletico Madrid. While Mourinho likes to play these 'mind games' it is pointless in this case as Liverpool are going to play their best possible team regardless of the Chelsea lineup however Mourinho must ask the owner and the board for permission to basically concede the Premier League if he puts out a weakened team however this result is very unlikely to affect Chelsea's title prospects as they are currently 33/1 to win the league.
-John Terry and Petr Cech are out for the season. Hazard and Eto's are doubtful.
-Liverpool's only definite absentee is Jose Enrique with Sturridge expected to be fit.
-Liverpool's home record in the league is 15-1-1 (scoring 51, conceding 15) while Chelsea have won less than 50% of their away league matches.


Bet: Liverpool To Win 'Draw No Bet'
Stake: 95
Bookmaker: Ladbrokes
Odds: 1.36

[PuntersAdvice]

Europa League: Juventus v Benfica


-Juventus are the best team left in the competition and while Benfica is worthy favourites at home, Juventus will have the advantage of playing the second leg at home and have shown they are one of the best home teams in the world having won every one of their home games in Serie A and concede an average of less than a goal away from home.
-Juventus have almost certainly won Serie A (currently best priced 1/100) and have the extra motivation of the final of the Europa League in their stadium.


Bet: Juventus To Qualify For Next Round
Stake: 47
Bookmaker: Bet365
Odds: 1.5


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Champions League: Chelsea v Atletico Madrid


-Chelsea have a serious defensive problem with John Terry and Petr Cech out for the rest of the season.
-Samuel Eto'o and Eden Hazard are doubtful.
-John Mikel Obi and Frank Lampard are suspended.
-Atletico have scored in 10 of their 11 Champions League games and will progress with a score draw against a team that have one clean sheet playing away in the Champions League since October.
-Atletico had 69% possession in the first leg with 26 shots compared to just 5 from Chelsea.


Bet: Atletico Madrid To Win Or Draw Double Chance
Stake: 47
Bookmaker: Bet365
Odds: 1.67


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Champions League: Bayern Munich v Real Madrid


-The first leg was played in Madrid and Bayern had 64% possession, more shots, more corners and forced Madrid's goalkeeper into making 10 saved from direct shots on target.
-Bayern have to win and might possibly have to score 3 goals if they fail to keep a clean sheet so we will see what is many people's best team in the world, at home and needing to win, against a team that were second best in the first leg on every stat except the final score and were outplayed at home.


Bet: Bayern Munich To Win
Stake: 47
Bookmaker: Ladbrokes
Odds: 1.73

[PuntersAdvice]

Champions League: Chelsea v Atletico Madrid


-First Leg finished goalless.
-Chelsea have an ultra defensive lineup with 7 defensive outfield players.
-Atletico Madrid are starting without their second highest scorer (Villa) and their second highest assister and all round midfield engine (Gabi)


Bet: Under 2.5 Goals
Stake: 94
Bookmaker: StanJames
Odds: 1.57

[Massa]

Ouch

[GSK_AFC]

Chelsea keep letting you down.

[alexafc12]

night night son.

[PuntersAdvice]

Liverpool 0-2 Chelsea
Juventus 1-2 Benfica
Chelsea 1-3 Atletico Madrid
Bayern Munich 0-4 Real Madrid

Balance: 705