Jedi wrote:A win for the world is for Putin to be overthrown and be publicly hanged in the Red Square. There is no Ukraine losing because it is a clear red line for Europe and Europe (and NATO) would be drawn into direct conflict with Russia long before that happens. We're not in 2022.
The "Putin strikes Berlin" crap is nonsense. It is for closeted homosexuals who fetishize tinpot inbred monkey dictators. Any strike against NATO ends with Russia getting balkanized. Let them trigger Article 5 if they want total death for Russia as a state and for its people, whether it is by conventional or nuclear war. It won't happen.
Since the end of the Cold War, all NATO has been good for is bombing small nations that can't retaliate. It is not a deterrent any more. Putin isn't going to be brought to justice any more than George W Bush will be. That's the whole point of having nukes.
3 years in, the member states have shown their hand; their commitment to Ukraine is pretty much to let the Ukrainians try to hold them off with NATO armaments alone. That isn't sustainable, and everybody knows it. The entire western world is facing high inflation, border crises, unaffordable retirement and economic uncertainty, made worse by the billionnaire class making daily threats to replace them with AI.
The Cold War was won when western governments made efforts to create a decent standard of living in their societies. Free-market neoliberalism has wiped that out. There is zero public appetite for spending billions to push themselves further into wars against Russia, Iran and China. Europe can ignore public opinion for now, but not forever. They will leave Ukraine to the wolves, just as the US slowly abandoned South Vietnam when facing the risk of domestic revolution in the '60s.
Putin doesn't have to strike a NATO nation to destabilize the alliance. He can simply start nibbling away at NATO's obvious weak spots like Turkey and Hungary. Kick Turkey out and they'll be hosting Russian and Chinese airbases within months, if Hungary doesn't veto an expulsion to begin with.
I don't know what the future holds, but it's safe to say the international order of the Cold War era is well and truly gone.